Climate Change

Published on October 31st, 2017 | by James Ayre

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Levels Grew At Record Pace In 2016, UN Says

Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels grew at a record pace in 2016, to 403.3 parts per million (ppm), up from 400.0 in 2015, the UN World Meteorological Organization just revealed as part of its annual Greenhouse Gas Bulletin.

The growth rate in atmospheric carbon dioxide in 2016 was thus around 50% faster than the average of the last decade — showing just how rapidly greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere continue to rise despite the supposed “decoupling” of industrial activity from emissions put forward by some.

What the news also means is that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are now roughly 45% higher than they were during the pre-industrial period, and even further beyond the range of 180-280 ppm seen during the recent ice age oscillations of the last few tens of thousands of years.

Also noteworthy is that with the atmospheric carbon dioxide levels where they are now, a temperature rise of up to 3° Celsius is now baked in, as is a sea level rise of up to 20-meters — though, of course, the path to a higher point of equilibrium is always choppy.

“Today’s CO2 concentration of ~400 ppm exceeds the natural variability seen over hundreds of thousands of years,” the WMO bulletin read.

As noted by the WMO bulletin: “During that period, global mean surface temperatures were 2–3° Celsius warmer than today, ice sheets in Greenland and West Antarctica melted and even parts of East Antarctica’s ice retreated, causing the sea level to rise 10–20 meters higher than that today. … [The] rate of increase of atmospheric [CO2] over the past 70 years is nearly 100 times larger than that at the end of the last ice age … such abrupt changes in the atmospheric levels of CO2 have never before been seen.”

Joshua Hill of CleanTechnica writes: “So that bodes well.”

He also writes: “New data published this week by the World Meteorological Organization show that concentrations of carbon dioxide, or CO2, in the atmosphere surged to their highest level in 800,000 years.

“So that bodes well.”

As the world seems to be in no hurry to actually limit greenhouse gas emissions to any substantial degree, rather than just talk about doing so, atmospheric concentrations are slated to continue rising, bringing with them catastrophic changes well beyond those that occurred during the mid-Pliocene era.


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About the Author

's background is predominantly in geopolitics and history, but he has an obsessive interest in pretty much everything. After an early life spent in the Imperial Free City of Dortmund, James followed the river Ruhr to Cofbuokheim, where he attended the University of Astnide. And where he also briefly considered entering the coal mining business. He currently writes for a living, on a broad variety of subjects, ranging from science, to politics, to military history, to renewable energy. You can follow his work on Google+.



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