Published on June 15th, 2012 | by Shellee Tyler1
North Carolina Bans Climate Change?
June 15th, 2012 by Shellee Tyler
I don’t understand why a state would outlaw climate change. North Carolina is on the sea and if the water levels rise it would kill their tourism industry, which in turn would almost bankrupt the state. A lot of people go to the beaches in the state for vacations and spend tons of money there. So, wouldn’t it make better sense to fight climate change than try to outlaw it?
Makes no sense to me, but I’m sure in the near future they will regret doing this. Especially when they lose millions in tourism dollars.
North Carolina is no stranger to the “if you dislike it then you should have made a law against it” model of legislation, but this is extreme: the state General Assembly’s Replacement House Bill 819 would rule that scientists are not allowed to accurately predict sea-level rise.
By all legal calculations, the sea level will now rise eight inches by the end of the century. Sure, so far models have predicted an increase of more than three feet, but if they keep that stuff up, they’re going to JAIL. OK, there’s not really a prison sentence attached to this proposed rule, but you see, actual sea-level rise is nonlinear, because there’s feedback. The warmer it gets, the more the water volume expands, and the more stuff melts, and the more it expands, etc. That’s how most scientific models arrive at their predictions, because that is how physics works.
But an increase that big is extremely inconvenient for a state with a beach-based tourist trade. So, North Carolina’s solution is simple: change how physics works, or at least change how people do physics. Accordingly, this bill mandates that models use a linear increase — a consistent amount of change every year, based on historical data. This will lead to predictions that are much less catastrophic, and much more reassuring for people building resorts in the Outer Banks. The predictions will also be flat-out wrong, but that’s nothing new for North Carolina.
If it’s not obvious why this is stupid, look at it this way: in 1790, the year North Carolina is stuck in, the population was about 400,000. In 1900, it was 1.9 million. That’s an increase of 1.5 million in 110 years — so if there were an analogous rule for population, the state would have prepared for 3.4 million residents in 2010, which might cause some strife among the 9.7 million people who live there now. But, you know, whatever’s the law is the law, so forget you, math. If the 6.3 million people unaccounted for by the legal model wanted housing and services, they should have fallen in line with North Carolina reality.
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